Ontario’s Labour Market Forecast
This profile summarizes a provincial labour market forecast for the broader automotive industry. The forecast model projects and quantifies trends in labour demand and supply for the industry over the forecast period from 2021 to 2030. The forecast model uses a combination of data sources to generate labour market outlooks.
Profile Highlights:
• Ontario’s broader automotive industry employed an estimated 160, 800 workers in 2019. A total of 62% of workers were employed in core automotive industries. 20% of workers were employed in one of Ontario’s light vehicle assembly plants. An additional 42% of workers were employed in vehicle parts manufacturing, either at OEM-operated facilities and through independent parts suppliers.
• The remaining 38% of workers were employed in automotive-associated industries. These industries cover the full automotive supply chain, including employment in metals industries (13% of workers), non-metal materials industries (11%), computer and electronics (8%), and a range of other industries (5%).
• Looking ahead, employment is projected to remain flat at approximately 161,000 workers through 2030, while total employment in the province is projected to grow from 7.2 million in 2022 to nearly 8.0 million by 2030. Similarly, industry groups that comprise the broader automotive industry are projected to experience little employment growth over the next decade, with average annual growth rates below 1.0%.