Winnipeg’s Labour Market Forecast
This profile summarizes a regional labour market forecast for the broader automotive industry. The forecast model projects and quantifies trends in labour demand and supply for the industry over the forecast period from 2021 to 2030. The forecast model uses a combination of data sources to generate labour market outlooks.
Profile Highlights:
• The Winnipeg region’s broader automotive industry employed an estimated 4,840 workers in 2019. 76% of workers were employed in core automotive roles, including vehicle assembly (58%) and parts manufacturing (18%). The remaining 24% of workers were employed in automotive industry-associated industries. Looking ahead, employment is projected to grow steadily during the decade, rising to over 5,500 workers by 2030.
• The region’s broader automotive industry will need to hire 1,750 workers between 2021 and 2030 in order to meet projected labour demands. 1,070 workers will need to be hired to replace workers lost due to retirement or death, while an additional 680 workers will need to be hired as a result of industry growth.
• The region’s broader automotive industry is expected to face a recruitment gap of 1,510 workers between 2021 and 2030, even after taking account of new entrants to the workforce. This would require hiring the equivalent of 31% of the region’s current broader automotive industry employment. Recruitment gaps could be significantly higher if the industry fails to recruit new entrants at historic levels.